Hebar Pazardzhik vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
AUS
1 - 5
HEB
46%
23%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 3
HEB
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
LSO
3 - 3
HEB
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
HEB
1 - 0
BGA
54%
25%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
LUD
0 - 3
HEB
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
SVA
0 - 0
SME
5%
10%
86%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
SVA
0 - 4
NEF
24%
22%
53%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
SVA
1 - 2
KAR
28%
26%
47%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CHE
4 - 0
SVA
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SVA
0 - 4
LOV
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |