Hebar Pazardzhik vs Pirin Blagoevgrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
15º
14º
24
13º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LSO
4 - 0
HEB
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
HEB
0 - 3
SSO
24%
27%
50%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
SVA
0 - 1
HEB
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
HEB
0 - 1
CSK
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
LPL
2 - 1
HEB
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Pirin Blagoevgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
OFK
0 - 4
LUD
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
CVA
1 - 0
OFK
65%
23%
13%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LSO
1 - 0
OFK
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
OFK
1 - 2
SSO
37%
27%
37%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
SVA
1 - 1
OFK
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |