Hebar Pazardzhik vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
47.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
8º
7º
38
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 4 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2025 |
CSK
0 - 0
HEB
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
HEB
1 - 3
FLK
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
SSO
3 - 2
HEB
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
CSK
1 - 3
HEB
74%
17%
10%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
HEB
0 - 2
LUD
12%
22%
67%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2025 |
FLK
0 - 4
LPL
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
LPL
1 - 1
LSO
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
SEP
2 - 0
LPL
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
LPL
0 - 1
SSO
30%
28%
43%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CSK
2 - 0
LPL
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |