Cup Bulgaria 1/16

Hebar Pazardzhik vs Beroe analysis

Hebar Pazardzhik Beroe
56 ELO 76
5.9% Tilt 2.8%
3635º General ELO ranking 1628º
27º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
22.4%
Hebar Pazardzhik
24.5%
Draw
53.1%
Beroe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
Hebar Pazardzhik
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.1%
Win probability
Beroe
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hebar Pazardzhik
-16%
-7%
Beroe

ELO progression

Hebar Pazardzhik
Beroe
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hebar Pazardzhik
Hebar Pazardzhik
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2018
HEB
Hebar Pazardzhik
4 - 0
Velbazhd
VEL
90%
8%
2%
57 20 37 0
15 Sep. 2018
NAD
Nadezhda Dobroslavtsi
0 - 3
Hebar Pazardzhik
HEB
8%
16%
76%
57 28 29 0
08 Sep. 2018
HEB
Hebar Pazardzhik
2 - 0
Chavdar Etropole
CHA
66%
19%
14%
57 47 10 0
01 Sep. 2018
BOT
Botev Ihtiman
1 - 3
Hebar Pazardzhik
HEB
16%
21%
63%
57 40 17 0
25 Aug. 2018
HEB
Hebar Pazardzhik
1 - 0
Bansko
BAN
68%
19%
13%
56 47 9 +1

Matches

Beroe
Beroe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2018
ETA
Etar 1924
1 - 1
Beroe
BER
41%
28%
31%
76 69 7 0
15 Sep. 2018
BER
Beroe
1 - 0
Septemvri Sofia
SEP
65%
22%
13%
75 62 13 +1
01 Sep. 2018
LSO
Levski Sofia
1 - 0
Beroe
BER
55%
25%
21%
77 79 2 -2
27 Aug. 2018
BER
Beroe
4 - 0
Botev Vratsa
BVR
59%
24%
17%
77 67 10 0
17 Aug. 2018
CVA
Cherno More Varna
0 - 0
Beroe
BER
37%
29%
34%
77 73 4 0