Lowland Football League Scotland Round 16

Hearts II vs Celtic II analysis

Hearts II Celtic II
49 ELO 53
11.9% Tilt 8.9%
5183º General ELO ranking 3049º
61º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
39.3%
Hearts II
23.1%
Draw
37.6%
Celtic II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
Hearts II
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
37.6%
Win probability
Celtic II
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hearts II
-33%
+21%
Celtic II

Points and table prediction

Hearts II
Their league position
Celtic II
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
13º
11º
70
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
East Kilbride
77
77
100%
Celtic II
70
70
100%
Caledonian Braves
63
63
100%
Tranent Juniors FC
61
61
0%
Linlithgow Rose
61
61
0%
Albion Rovers
54
54
100%
Broxburn Athletic
51
51
100%
Civil Service Strollers
47
47
100%
East Stirlingshire
43
43
100%
Cowdenbeath
10º
42
42
10º
100%
Hearts II
11º
40
40
11º
100%
Bo'ness United
12º
39
39
12º
100%
Stirling University
13º
35
35
13º
100%
Cumbernauld Colts
14º
34
34
14º
100%
Gretna 2008
15º
33
33
15º
0%
Berwick Rangers
16º
33
33
16º
0%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
17º
31
31
17º
0%
Broomhill FC
18º
31
31
18º
0%
Expected probabilities
Hearts II
Celtic II
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation / Relegation playoffs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Hearts II
Celtic II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hearts II
Hearts II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2024
EAS
East Kilbride
4 - 1
Hearts II
HOM
61%
20%
19%
51 57 6 0
05 Oct. 2024
CBF
Caledonian Braves
3 - 2
Hearts II
HOM
42%
25%
33%
51 51 0 0
27 Sep. 2024
CFC
Celtic II
2 - 2
Hearts II
HOM
52%
23%
25%
51 54 3 0
20 Sep. 2024
HOM
Hearts II
0 - 2
Broomhill FC
BFC
72%
16%
12%
52 35 17 -1
06 Sep. 2024
HOM
Hearts II
0 - 2
Bo'ness United
BON
61%
20%
20%
53 48 5 -1

Matches

Celtic II
Celtic II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2024
CBF
Caledonian Braves
5 - 1
Celtic II
CFC
34%
25%
42%
54 52 2 0
16 Oct. 2024
CFC
Celtic II
4 - 0
Gretna 2008
GRE
87%
9%
4%
54 24 30 0
05 Oct. 2024
BON
Bo'ness United
3 - 3
Celtic II
CFC
30%
24%
46%
54 48 6 0
27 Sep. 2024
CFC
Celtic II
2 - 2
Hearts II
HOM
52%
23%
25%
54 51 3 0
21 Sep. 2024
CFC
Celtic II
0 - 0
Berwick Rangers
BER
80%
13%
7%
54 40 14 0