SPL Round 5

Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren analysis

Heart of Midlothian St. Mirren
82 ELO 73
22.8% Tilt 16%
473º General ELO ranking 586º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
78.1%
Heart of Midlothian
12.3%
Draw
9.6%
St. Mirren

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
Heart of Midlothian
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.3%
9.6%
Win probability
St. Mirren
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heart of Midlothian
+11%
+4%
St. Mirren

ELO progression

Heart of Midlothian
St. Mirren
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 1959
CLY
Clyde
2 - 2
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
42%
21%
37%
83 76 7 0
21 Nov. 1959
ABE
Aberdeen
1 - 3
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
37%
22%
42%
83 72 11 0
14 Nov. 1959
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
3 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
75%
14%
11%
83 77 6 0
07 Nov. 1959
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
5 - 3
Partick Thistle
PAR
77%
13%
10%
83 74 9 0
31 Oct. 1959
GLA
Rangers
0 - 2
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
52%
21%
27%
83 83 0 0

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 1959
STM
St. Mirren
4 - 3
Ayr United
AYR
62%
18%
20%
72 67 5 0
21 Nov. 1959
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
56%
20%
25%
72 67 5 0
14 Nov. 1959
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 2
Airdrieonians
AIR
59%
19%
22%
73 70 3 -1
07 Nov. 1959
STM
St. Mirren
2 - 3
Hibernian FC
HIB
53%
20%
26%
73 75 2 0
31 Oct. 1959
STI
Stirling Albion
3 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
35%
24%
42%
74 60 14 -1