SPL Round 4

Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren analysis

Heart of Midlothian St. Mirren
78 ELO 68
-10.4% Tilt -1.6%
472º General ELO ranking 585º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
75.2%
Heart of Midlothian
15%
Draw
9.7%
St. Mirren

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
Heart of Midlothian
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
9.7%
Win probability
St. Mirren
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heart of Midlothian
+11%
+4%
St. Mirren

ELO progression

Heart of Midlothian
St. Mirren
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 1912
CEL
Celtic
1 - 0
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
62%
20%
18%
78 83 5 0
02 Nov. 1912
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
4 - 0
Partick Thistle
PAR
68%
18%
14%
78 74 4 0
26 Oct. 1912
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
5 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
76%
15%
9%
78 67 11 0
19 Oct. 1912
ABE
Aberdeen
0 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
48%
24%
28%
77 77 0 +1
12 Oct. 1912
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
1 - 2
Third Lanark
TLA
41%
24%
35%
78 83 5 -1

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 1912
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 0
Airdrieonians
AIR
49%
24%
27%
68 74 6 0
02 Nov. 1912
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 0
St. Mirren
STM
83%
11%
6%
68 83 15 0
26 Oct. 1912
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 0
Clyde
CLY
33%
25%
42%
68 80 12 0
19 Oct. 1912
TLA
Third Lanark
0 - 0
St. Mirren
STM
81%
12%
7%
67 83 16 +1
12 Oct. 1912
STM
St. Mirren
2 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
66%
19%
15%
67 65 2 0