SPL Round 4

Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren analysis

Heart of Midlothian St. Mirren
80 ELO 69
10% Tilt 14.4%
472º General ELO ranking 585º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
65.1%
Heart of Midlothian
18.8%
Draw
16.1%
St. Mirren

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
Heart of Midlothian
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.1%
Win probability
St. Mirren
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heart of Midlothian
+14%
+2%
St. Mirren

ELO progression

Heart of Midlothian
St. Mirren
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 1901
GRE
Greenock Morton
1 - 3
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
26%
23%
51%
80 67 13 0
09 Nov. 1901
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
4 - 1
Third Lanark
TLA
65%
19%
16%
80 70 10 0
02 Nov. 1901
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
2 - 2
Celtic
CEL
36%
24%
40%
80 83 3 0
26 Oct. 1901
QUE
Queen's Park
2 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
24%
23%
53%
80 67 13 0
19 Oct. 1901
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
27%
23%
50%
80 71 9 0

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 1901
CEL
Celtic
3 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
68%
18%
14%
70 83 13 0
02 Nov. 1901
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
36%
24%
40%
70 80 10 0
26 Oct. 1901
STM
St. Mirren
3 - 0
Dundee
DUN
63%
19%
18%
69 67 2 +1
19 Oct. 1901
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 1
Greenock Morton
GRE
65%
19%
16%
69 67 2 0
12 Oct. 1901
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
54%
22%
24%
69 72 3 0