Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
HOM
0 - 2
GLA
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 2
HOM
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
HOM
2 - 0
CEL
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
STJ
2 - 0
HOM
37%
29%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
AYR
1 - 1
HOM
25%
26%
48%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
KIL
2 - 0
EAS
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MHE
0 - 0
KIL
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
KIL
3 - 3
CEL
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
KIL
1 - 2
STJ
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
GLA
2 - 0
KIL
73%
18%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |