Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
HOM
2 - 0
STM
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
GLA
1 - 0
HOM
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
STU
1 - 0
HOM
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
HOM
2 - 0
DUN
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
LIV
0 - 2
HOM
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
KIL
1 - 0
ABE
49%
25%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
KIL
1 - 0
DUN
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
STJ
0 - 1
KIL
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
STJ
1 - 1
KIL
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
CLY
1 - 2
KIL
36%
27%
38%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |