SPL Round 26

Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis

Heart of Midlothian Kilmarnock
76 ELO 65
-2.2% Tilt 3.6%
473º General ELO ranking 527º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
70.2%
Heart of Midlothian
18.6%
Draw
11.2%
Kilmarnock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
Heart of Midlothian
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.2%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heart of Midlothian
+11%
+2%
Kilmarnock

ELO progression

Heart of Midlothian
Kilmarnock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 1997
GLA
Rangers
0 - 0
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
70%
18%
13%
76 83 7 0
18 Jan. 1997
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
1 - 2
Dundee United
DUN
52%
25%
24%
76 75 1 0
11 Jan. 1997
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
1 - 2
Celtic
CEL
35%
27%
39%
76 83 7 0
04 Jan. 1997
RAI
Raith Rovers
1 - 2
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
33%
27%
41%
76 64 12 0
01 Jan. 1997
HIB
Hibernian FC
0 - 4
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
44%
26%
30%
75 71 4 +1

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 1997
ABE
Aberdeen
2 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
69%
20%
12%
66 77 11 0
21 Jan. 1997
MHE
Motherwell
2 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
57%
24%
20%
67 69 2 -1
18 Jan. 1997
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
49%
25%
27%
66 69 3 +1
15 Jan. 1997
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Rangers
GLA
21%
24%
55%
66 83 17 0
11 Jan. 1997
KIL
Kilmarnock
0 - 1
Raith Rovers
RAI
57%
23%
20%
66 64 2 0