Heart of Midlothian vs Dundee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
HOM
0 - 2
GLA
41%
24%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
CEL
1 - 0
HOM
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
KIL
1 - 0
HOM
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
DUN
0 - 1
HOM
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
HOM
2 - 1
CEL
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2003 |
CEL
6 - 2
DUN
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 2
DUN
51%
24%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 2
GLA
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
DUN
0 - 1
KIL
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
ICT
0 - 1
DUN
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |