SPL Title Play-off Round 5

Heart of Midlothian vs Celtic analysis

Heart of Midlothian Celtic
76 ELO 83
-10.5% Tilt -17.6%
481º General ELO ranking 467º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
29.2%
Heart of Midlothian
25.4%
Draw
45.4%
Celtic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
Heart of Midlothian
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.4%
Win probability
Celtic
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heart of Midlothian
+7%
+26%
Celtic

ELO progression

Heart of Midlothian
Celtic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2010
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
0 - 0
Dundee United
DUN
36%
27%
38%
76 80 4 0
01 May. 2010
HIB
Hibernian FC
1 - 2
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
51%
27%
23%
76 73 3 0
24 Apr. 2010
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
0 - 2
Motherwell
MHE
54%
26%
20%
77 72 5 -1
18 Apr. 2010
GLA
Rangers
2 - 0
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
67%
20%
13%
77 83 6 0
10 Apr. 2010
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
1 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
61%
24%
15%
77 68 9 0

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2010
CEL
Celtic
2 - 1
Rangers
GLA
50%
25%
26%
83 83 0 0
01 May. 2010
CEL
Celtic
4 - 0
Motherwell
MHE
67%
21%
12%
83 73 10 0
25 Apr. 2010
DUN
Dundee United
0 - 2
Celtic
CEL
36%
26%
39%
83 80 3 0
17 Apr. 2010
CEL
Celtic
3 - 2
Hibernian FC
HIB
64%
22%
15%
83 74 9 0
13 Apr. 2010
CEL
Celtic
2 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
66%
21%
13%
83 73 10 0