Scottish League Cup Quarter-finals
Heart of Midlothian vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
3.92
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7.9%
4.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1958 |
HOM
4 - 3
AIR
81%
11%
8%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1958 |
AYR
1 - 5
HOM
36%
22%
42%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1958 |
HOM
2 - 1
SDL
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1958 |
HIB
0 - 4
HOM
41%
22%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1958 |
SDL
5 - 1
HOM
55%
20%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1958 |
AYR
1 - 5
HOM
36%
22%
42%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1958 |
FOR
1 - 1
AYR
47%
22%
31%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1958 |
MON
1 - 2
AYR
32%
21%
47%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1958 |
AYR
3 - 1
HAM
73%
15%
13%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1958 |
AYR
4 - 0
FOR
82%
11%
7%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |