Heart of Lions vs All Blacks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2008 |
REA
0 - 4
HEA
49%
28%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
HEA
4 - 0
BER
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
HEA
1 - 2
ASA
52%
27%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
ZAY
1 - 0
HEA
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
HEA
1 - 0
ALL
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
All Blacks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2008 |
BLA
1 - 0
ASH
48%
29%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
BER
1 - 0
BLA
46%
28%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
BLA
2 - 1
HAS
46%
29%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
REA
2 - 1
BLA
46%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2008 |
KIN
1 - 1
BLA
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |