HBS vs Hilversum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HBS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
HBS
2 - 3
LIS
42%
23%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
HAA
3 - 2
HBS
72%
16%
12%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
HBS
1 - 2
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ACH
4 - 1
HBS
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
HBS
9 - 1
ARG
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Hilversum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
HIL
0 - 3
RKC
11%
17%
72%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
1 - 2
HIL
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
HIL
2 - 1
VVS
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ARG
0 - 0
HIL
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
HIL
1 - 4
HAA
30%
26%
45%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |