Haywards Heath Town vs Pagham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haywards Heath Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
AUC
1 - 5
HAY
8%
15%
78%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
SHO
3 - 2
HAY
17%
19%
64%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
TOW
2 - 1
HAY
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 2
HAY
14%
19%
68%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MEF
2 - 2
HAY
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PAG
0 - 0
LOX
65%
19%
16%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PAG
1 - 1
LIN
32%
23%
45%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
CRA
1 - 1
PAG
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PAG
2 - 2
BEX
42%
23%
35%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 3
PAG
13%
17%
70%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |