Hayes & Yeading United vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hayes & Yeading United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
GOS
1 - 1
HAY
28%
21%
51%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
HAY
2 - 0
FAR
52%
22%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
AFD
0 - 0
HAY
22%
21%
57%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
HAY
1 - 2
WES
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
HAY
2 - 3
HAR
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
COR
2 - 0
AFD
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
AFD
3 - 2
BAR
67%
19%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
AFD
0 - 0
HAY
22%
21%
57%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
DID
1 - 3
AFD
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
AFD
2 - 0
BFC
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +2 |