Hay Al-Arab vs Hilal El-Fasher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hay Al-Arab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
HAY
1 - 0
HEN
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
TUT
1 - 1
HAY
40%
28%
32%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ASH
2 - 2
HAY
38%
29%
33%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
HAY
48%
27%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
HAY
1 - 0
POR
43%
27%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Hilal El-Fasher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
HIL
2 - 0
AAS
59%
24%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
HIL
2 - 0
ALA
57%
25%
18%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
ALR
1 - 2
HIL
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
HAW
0 - 4
HIL
44%
29%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
HIL
1 - 0
AFA
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |