Hawkes Bay United vs Team Wellington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
WAI
3 - 1
HAW
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAN
4 - 0
HAW
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
HAW
2 - 0
OTA
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
AUC
1 - 1
HAW
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
HAW
4 - 2
MAN
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
TEA
0 - 1
OTA
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TEA
3 - 1
MAN
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
WAI
1 - 4
TEA
23%
23%
54%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
TEA
0 - 1
CAN
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
WAI
3 - 0
TEA
60%
20%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |