Hartenholm vs Henstedt-Ulzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
44.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartenholm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TOD
3 - 0
HAR
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 4
FLE
13%
18%
69%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
REH
1 - 1
HAR
26%
22%
53%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 0
TUR
31%
24%
45%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VFR
2 - 0
HAR
79%
15%
7%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Henstedt-Ulzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
HUL
0 - 3
FLE
32%
21%
47%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ALT
2 - 0
HUL
73%
16%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
HUL
3 - 2
PRE
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
HEI
4 - 0
HUL
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HUL
2 - 1
UNI
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |