Harstad vs Tromso II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
33.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 2
OPP
35%
23%
43%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
KJE
2 - 2
HAR
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 2
FIN
29%
23%
48%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 1
MJO
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
STA
1 - 1
HAR
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tromso II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2016 |
TRO
1 - 0
KJE
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
FIN
4 - 0
TRO
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
TRO
1 - 0
STA
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
ALT
3 - 0
TRO
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TRO
3 - 1
ROS
37%
22%
41%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |