Harstad vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
51.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GRO
2 - 1
HAR
75%
15%
9%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 1
SEN
52%
21%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
TRO
2 - 0
HAR
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
OPP
0 - 3
HAR
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 0
KJE
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 1
KJE
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FIN
2 - 0
FOL
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
FOL
6 - 1
STA
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ALT
5 - 0
FOL
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 3
TRO
33%
24%
42%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |