FA Trophy . 1/16
Global 6-1
Harrogate Town vs St. Albans City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
STA
1 - 1
TOW
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
NUN
2 - 1
TOW
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
CHO
0 - 1
TOW
31%
25%
43%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
TOW
3 - 0
DAR
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
DAR
3 - 1
TOW
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
St. Albans City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
STA
1 - 1
TOW
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
STA
2 - 1
CHM
36%
25%
40%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
HEM
2 - 0
STA
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
STA
2 - 2
HEM
49%
22%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
WEA
1 - 3
STA
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |