Harrogate Railway vs Mossley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Railway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
HAR
0 - 3
PRE
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
WOS
1 - 1
HAR
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2009 |
HAR
1 - 2
HAL
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SHE
2 - 1
HAR
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
HAR
1 - 3
COL
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
MOS
1 - 1
WAK
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2009 |
MOS
3 - 1
BRA
29%
24%
48%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +4 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 1
MOS
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
LEG
1 - 1
MOS
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SPA
1 - 3
MOS
48%
24%
29%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |