Penn FC vs Dayton Dutch Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
WIL
0 - 0
PNN
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
PNN
1 - 3
CHA
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -3 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
DAY
3 - 1
PNN
36%
24%
39%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
PNN
3 - 1
VSI
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
PNN
1 - 2
CHA
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dayton Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
NYR
3 - 0
DAY
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
RIC
1 - 0
DAY
67%
21%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
DAY
3 - 1
PNN
36%
24%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
RIC
5 - 2
DAY
66%
21%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 1
DAY
55%
23%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |