USM El Harrach vs Tlemcen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM El Harrach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 1
JSK
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
USM
0 - 0
HAR
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2011 |
HAR
3 - 2
SET
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 1
SET
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 0
MCS
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tlemcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
TLE
1 - 1
BEJ
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
MCS
5 - 2
TLE
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
USM
0 - 0
TLE
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
TLE
1 - 1
SET
36%
28%
37%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
USM
1 - 1
TLE
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |