Harland & Wolff Welders vs Lurgan Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harland & Wolff Welders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
INS
2 - 0
HAR
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 0
BAL
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 0
LIS
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 4
GLE
17%
19%
64%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
HAR
3 - 2
WRE
86%
11%
4%
|
56 | 10 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LCE
2 - 1
LOU
50%
24%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
AUN
2 - 3
LCE
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LCE
1 - 0
KNO
51%
23%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
LCE
2 - 1
BAN
29%
23%
48%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
LCE
4 - 0
AFC
86%
11%
4%
|
51 | 14 | 37 | 0 |