Esiliiga round 15

Harju JK Laagri vs Paide II analysis

Harju JK Laagri Paide II
65 ELO 47
27.5% Tilt 10.5%
1295º General ELO ranking 5100º
Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
79.7%
Harju JK Laagri
13.1%
Draw
7.2%
Paide II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
Harju JK Laagri
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.2%
Win probability
Paide II
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Harju JK Laagri
-12%
-26%
Paide II

Points and table prediction

Harju JK Laagri
Their league position
Paide II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
25
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Harju JK Laagri
78
78
100%
Viimsi JK
75
75
100%
FC Flora Tallin II
66
66
100%
Tartu Welco
60
60
100%
FC Tallinn
53
53
100%
Levadia Tallinn II
44
44
100%
Tallinna Kalev II
42
42
100%
FC Elva
41
41
100%
Paide II
25
25
100%
Tabasalu Charma
10º
16
16
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Harju JK Laagri
Paide II
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Harju JK Laagri
Paide II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Harju JK Laagri
Harju JK Laagri
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 2024
VJK
Viimsi JK
2 - 2
Harju JK Laagri
HJP
42%
26%
33%
65 65 0 0
30 May. 2024
FLO
FC Flora Tallin II
1 - 1
Harju JK Laagri
HJP
50%
23%
28%
64 63 1 +1
26 May. 2024
HJP
Harju JK Laagri
4 - 3
Tabasalu Charma
TAB
73%
16%
11%
64 51 13 0
17 May. 2024
HJP
Harju JK Laagri
4 - 2
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
55%
22%
23%
63 61 2 +1
11 May. 2024
WEL
Tartu Welco
0 - 2
Harju JK Laagri
HJP
46%
25%
30%
62 62 0 +1

Matches

Paide II
Paide II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 2024
PAI
Paide II
1 - 11
FC Flora Tallin II
FLO
23%
22%
54%
48 63 15 0
30 May. 2024
PAI
Paide II
0 - 5
Viimsi JK
VJK
23%
25%
52%
48 64 16 0
26 May. 2024
FCT
FC Tallinn
8 - 1
Paide II
PAI
66%
18%
16%
49 59 10 -1
19 May. 2024
WEL
Tartu Welco
2 - 1
Paide II
PAI
66%
19%
15%
50 62 12 -1
11 May. 2024
PAI
Paide II
3 - 0
Tabasalu Charma
TAB
34%
22%
44%
48 53 5 +2