Harju JK Laagri vs FC Tallinn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
7º
1º
53
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 26
HJP
4%
9%
87%
|
65 | 9 | 56 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HJP
5 - 1
TAB
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
VJK
4 - 4
HJP
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HJP
3 - 3
TKA
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FCE
0 - 0
HJP
16%
22%
61%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FC Tallinn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SSP
1 - 2
FCT
9%
13%
78%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCT
2 - 2
TKA
70%
18%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCT
3 - 0
PAI
71%
17%
13%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 4
FCT
64%
19%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 2
VJK
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |