Hard vs St. Johann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
47.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
WAL
3 - 0
HAR
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 2
FCH
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SWB
4 - 0
HAR
55%
22%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 2
FCW
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ANI
1 - 1
HAR
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
STJ
1 - 2
WAT
19%
21%
60%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SCR
7 - 3
STJ
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
STJ
1 - 1
SEE
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
KUF
1 - 1
STJ
54%
23%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
STJ
1 - 3
TSV
53%
22%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |