Hard vs St. Johann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2009 |
FCH
0 - 0
HAR
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
HAR
7 - 2
HAL
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
HOH
0 - 0
HAR
29%
23%
48%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
HAR
1 - 0
SCH
69%
18%
14%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ROT
0 - 8
HAR
9%
18%
73%
|
43 | 13 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
St. Johann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2009 |
STJ
1 - 1
AXG
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ANI
0 - 0
STJ
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
STJ
2 - 2
SEE
55%
23%
23%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
WAT
1 - 0
STJ
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
STJ
2 - 1
DOR
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |