Hard vs Union St. Florian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
45.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 0
HAR
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 0
TSV
49%
23%
29%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
SWB
3 - 0
HAR
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 0
REI
70%
18%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
PIN
1 - 1
HAR
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Union St. Florian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
SKN
2 - 0
STF
81%
14%
5%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
STF
0 - 1
FCB
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
WEI
0 - 3
STF
35%
26%
40%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
STF
0 - 1
HAR
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
GUR
2 - 3
STF
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |