Hard vs Seekirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
40.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
HAR
2 - 1
USC
36%
23%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
HOH
1 - 0
HAR
40%
23%
38%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 1
SCH
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 1
HAR
22%
23%
56%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 0
FCW
37%
24%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Seekirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
SEE
2 - 0
KUF
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
USC
0 - 0
SEE
52%
21%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SEE
2 - 0
SCR
38%
24%
37%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
HOH
0 - 1
SEE
35%
22%
44%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
SEE
2 - 2
SVA
18%
20%
62%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |