Hard vs Seekirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
WAT
0 - 3
HAR
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
HAR
1 - 0
SPG
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ROT
2 - 0
HAR
30%
25%
46%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
HAR
2 - 0
AXG
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
FCH
1 - 1
HAR
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Seekirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
SEE
1 - 1
HAL
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
WAT
0 - 1
SEE
76%
16%
9%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SEE
1 - 0
SWB
9%
18%
74%
|
28 | 69 | 41 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
SPG
3 - 2
SEE
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SEE
3 - 1
DOR
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |