Hard vs Seekirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ALT
6 - 1
HAR
69%
17%
14%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
HAR
4 - 0
KUF
58%
21%
22%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ROT
3 - 1
HAR
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
HAR
5 - 2
PUC
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
SAL
1 - 2
HAR
17%
21%
62%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Seekirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
SEE
0 - 2
HAL
36%
25%
40%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
HOH
0 - 3
SEE
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
SEE
1 - 2
ANI
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
RBJ
0 - 0
SEE
71%
16%
12%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2003 |
SEE
1 - 4
REI
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |