Hard vs Schwarzach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
KUN
1 - 4
HAR
47%
25%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
FEL
1 - 0
HAR
40%
26%
34%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2000 |
HAR
9 - 1
HOH
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
NEN
0 - 0
HAR
16%
23%
61%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2000 |
HAR
6 - 1
TII
80%
14%
6%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Schwarzach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
SCH
2 - 2
KIR
22%
25%
53%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2000 |
REI
3 - 2
SCH
82%
13%
6%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
SCH
0 - 1
PUC
15%
24%
62%
|
12 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2000 |
SCH
0 - 3
KUF
20%
24%
56%
|
14 | 51 | 37 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2000 |
KUN
2 - 1
SCH
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |