Hard vs SW Bregenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FCW
6 - 3
HAR
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
HAR
1 - 0
SCH
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
STJ
2 - 1
HAR
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 2
WAT
38%
24%
39%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 0
SCR
74%
15%
11%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SWB
5 - 0
TSV
87%
9%
4%
|
57 | 29 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SPG
0 - 2
SWB
16%
19%
64%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SWB
1 - 2
KUF
83%
11%
6%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BLA
1 - 2
SWB
11%
18%
71%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SWB
6 - 1
HOH
87%
9%
4%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | 0 |