Hard vs FC Höchst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
13º
4º
31
3º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 2
HAR
15%
18%
67%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
HAR
6 - 1
BEZ
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
AUS
4 - 1
HAR
28%
21%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
HAR
3 - 1
LUD
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LUS
5 - 1
HAR
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
FC Höchst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 8
FCH
6%
11%
83%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FCH
4 - 1
SCF
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
BEZ
1 - 2
FCH
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FCH
4 - 2
AUS
63%
19%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LUD
0 - 8
FCH
27%
22%
51%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |