Hard vs Egg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
HAR
1 - 2
LUS
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
ALB
1 - 2
HAR
17%
20%
63%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
ROT
0 - 1
HAR
24%
21%
55%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
HAR
5 - 1
WOL
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +3 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
LOC
4 - 1
HAR
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Egg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
EGG
4 - 1
ALB
87%
9%
4%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
WOL
1 - 1
EGG
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
EGG
3 - 0
SCG
71%
16%
12%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
NEN
2 - 3
EGG
29%
23%
48%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
EGG
3 - 1
LUD
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |