Harbour View vs Mount Pleasant analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
13º
12º
59
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harbour View
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
LIO
2 - 4
HAR
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
2 - 1
HAR
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 0
VER
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 0
HAR
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 0
DFC
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Mount Pleasant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MPA
1 - 1
MOL
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
DFC
1 - 2
MPA
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MPA
1 - 0
TBF
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 11 | 60 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
MPA
34%
28%
37%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
LIM
1 - 4
MPA
14%
20%
66%
|
70 | 10 | 60 | +1 |