Harar Birra vs Kedus St George analysis


55	ELO	55
-17.5%	Tilt	-12.6%
30873º	General ELO ranking	4611º
26º	Country ELO ranking	15º
ELO win probability

44.4%

Harar Birra

27.6%

Draw

28%

Kedus St George

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

44.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%

27.6%

Draw

0-0

9.7%

1-1

12.9%

2-2

4.3%

3-3

0.6%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.6%

28%
Win probability

                        
                    
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Harar Birra

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
29 Nov. 2012	WEH 0 - 1 HAR 53% 25% 23%	55	55
25 Nov. 2012	HAR 1 - 1 SIB 44% 28% 28%	55	55
21 Nov. 2012	MEH 4 - 1 HAR 53% 25% 23%	55	55
17 Nov. 2012	HAR 2 - 2 ETB 41% 27% 32%	55	55
11 Nov. 2012	MUC 0 - 1 HAR 47% 27% 26%	55	55

Matches

Kedus St George

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
30 Nov. 2012	KGI 0 - 1 AWK 48% 25% 27%	55	55
26 Nov. 2012	ADK 1 - 2 KGI 46% 27% 27%	55	55
22 Nov. 2012	KGI 1 - 0 AMK 48% 25% 27%	55	55
15 Nov. 2012	KGI 2 - 1 DED 49% 25% 25%	55	55
11 Nov. 2012	WEH 0 - 3 KGI 52% 25% 23%	55	55