Happy Valley AA vs Tuen Mun FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.4%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Happy Valley AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HON
2 - 1
HVA
69%
17%
14%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HVA
2 - 0
WIN
66%
18%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ISK
1 - 1
HVA
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
HVA
2 - 5
WIN
72%
16%
12%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SDI
1 - 2
HVA
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Tuen Mun FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TUE
1 - 5
EAS
17%
23%
60%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
DOU
2 - 1
TUE
83%
12%
6%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
TUE
1 - 4
SHA
14%
18%
68%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -2 |