Q. Europa League 2da Ronda. Final
Global 1-3
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hapoel Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
AST
3 - 0
HAP
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
HAP
4 - 2
IKS
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
BSA
1 - 3
HAP
21%
24%
55%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
HAP
1 - 2
HBS
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
HAP
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
AST
3 - 0
HAP
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 1
AST
17%
25%
58%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
AST
2 - 0
PYU
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
AST
4 - 0
SHA
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
PYU
1 - 4
AST
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |