Hapoel Bnei Ar'ara 'Ara vs Beitar Haifa Jacob analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
7º
16º
7º
29
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
55.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
88.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 51.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 48% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hapoel Bnei Ar'ara 'Ara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
MAF
1 - 3
HBA
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
HBA
0 - 1
MTH
20%
20%
60%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
TUA
2 - 2
HBA
66%
19%
16%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
IBK
2 - 1
HBA
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
HBA
3 - 1
ARE
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Beitar Haifa Jacob
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
BHJ
1 - 2
IBB
54%
20%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
MNS
2 - 1
BHJ
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
BHJ
0 - 2
HBF
45%
21%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
BHJ
3 - 1
HTH
26%
21%
53%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +3 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
HBM
1 - 0
BHJ
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |