Premier League round 16

Hamrun Spartans vs Rabat Ajax analysis

Hamrun Spartans Rabat Ajax
55 ELO 53
4.3% Tilt 1.6%
1658º General ELO ranking 8255º
Country ELO ranking 48º
ELO win probability
51%
Hamrun Spartans
23.3%
Draw
25.8%
Rabat Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
Hamrun Spartans
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.7%
Win probability
Rabat Ajax
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hamrun Spartans
+35%
-54%
Rabat Ajax

ELO progression

Hamrun Spartans
Rabat Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hamrun Spartans
Hamrun Spartans
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jan. 1999
FLO
Floriana FC
2 - 0
Hamrun Spartans
HAM
71%
18%
11%
55 66 11 0
09 Jan. 1999
HAM
Hamrun Spartans
0 - 0
Naxxar Lions FC
NAX
33%
25%
42%
54 64 10 +1
03 Jan. 1999
PIE
Pieta Hotspurs
3 - 0
Hamrun Spartans
HAM
67%
20%
13%
55 62 7 -1
27 Dec. 1998
HAM
Hamrun Spartans
1 - 3
Hibernians
HIB
36%
26%
38%
56 65 9 -1
16 Dec. 1998
ZAB
Zabbar St. Patrick
1 - 1
Hamrun Spartans
HAM
37%
25%
38%
56 49 7 0

Matches

Rabat Ajax
Rabat Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 1999
RAB
Rabat Ajax
2 - 4
Sliema Wanderers
SLI
28%
24%
47%
55 70 15 0
17 Jan. 1999
BIR
Birkirkara
2 - 2
Rabat Ajax
RAB
76%
16%
8%
54 71 17 +1
03 Jan. 1999
VAL
Valletta FC
4 - 0
Rabat Ajax
RAB
78%
15%
7%
55 71 16 -1
26 Dec. 1998
RAB
Rabat Ajax
1 - 1
Floriana FC
FLO
32%
24%
44%
54 67 13 +1
19 Dec. 1998
NAX
Naxxar Lions FC
1 - 2
Rabat Ajax
RAB
69%
20%
12%
53 65 12 +1