Hamrun Spartans vs Dingli Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
HAM
3 - 0
SGC
59%
21%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
HAM
1 - 0
MSI
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SLI
5 - 0
HAM
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
HAM
0 - 1
FLO
47%
25%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
HIB
4 - 2
HAM
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Dingli Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 3
DIN
45%
23%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
DIN
0 - 2
SLI
31%
26%
42%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
FLO
1 - 2
DIN
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
DIN
1 - 3
BIR
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
HIB
2 - 1
DIN
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |