Hamm / Sieg vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamm / Sieg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
EBK
0 - 3
HAM
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
WIR
0 - 1
HAM
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2000 |
HAM
2 - 0
MET
84%
11%
4%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
KAI
3 - 0
HAM
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2000 |
HAM
3 - 5
WWO
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
HOM
3 - 0
MET
81%
14%
5%
|
43 | 12 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2000 |
KAI
1 - 1
HOM
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2000 |
HOM
2 - 3
WWO
53%
25%
23%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
IDA
0 - 7
HOM
39%
26%
36%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2000 |
HOM
5 - 1
GME
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |