Scottish League Cup Round 1

Hamilton Academical vs Ayr United analysis

Hamilton Academical Ayr United
59 ELO 61
4.9% Tilt 3.2%
1964º General ELO ranking 854º
23º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
53.3%
Hamilton Academical
19.8%
Draw
26.9%
Ayr United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
Hamilton Academical
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
26.9%
Win probability
Ayr United
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hamilton Academical
-13%
-12%
Ayr United

ELO progression

Hamilton Academical
Ayr United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hamilton Academical
Hamilton Academical
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 1957
BRE
Brechin City
1 - 0
Hamilton Academical
HAM
64%
17%
19%
59 64 5 0
11 Sep. 1957
HAM
Hamilton Academical
2 - 4
Brechin City
BRE
60%
18%
22%
60 62 2 -1
04 Sep. 1957
HAM
Hamilton Academical
3 - 0
Montrose
MON
79%
13%
9%
60 51 9 0
02 Sep. 1957
MON
Montrose
1 - 0
Hamilton Academical
HAM
42%
22%
37%
60 50 10 0
31 Aug. 1957
HAM
Hamilton Academical
4 - 1
St. Johnstone
STJ
64%
18%
18%
59 64 5 +1

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 1957
AYR
Ayr United
3 - 2
Cowdenbeath
CWB
81%
11%
9%
61 56 5 0
28 Aug. 1957
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
3 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
63%
17%
20%
62 64 2 -1
24 Aug. 1957
AYR
Ayr United
4 - 2
Brechin City
BRE
63%
17%
20%
61 63 2 +1
17 Aug. 1957
CWB
Cowdenbeath
1 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
51%
20%
29%
62 58 4 -1
14 Aug. 1957
AYR
Ayr United
4 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
60%
19%
22%
60 64 4 +2