Hamburger SV vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
HOF
1 - 4
HSV
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
HSV
1 - 1
WOL
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
S04
4 - 1
HSV
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
HSV
2 - 1
F95
48%
27%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
M05
1 - 2
HSV
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
LEV
3 - 1
HAN
58%
22%
21%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FCN
0 - 2
LEV
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
LEV
1 - 0
BRE
58%
21%
22%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
LEV
5 - 0
HOF
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
S04
2 - 2
LEV
44%
24%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |